Kalaitzi, A.S.

Do fuel-mining exports cause economic growth in the UAE? A multivariate time series analysis

Conference item

Kalaitzi, A.S. 2018. Do fuel-mining exports cause economic growth in the UAE? A multivariate time series analysis. Innovation Arabia 11 Conference . Dubai, UAE 11 - 13 Mar 2018

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Title	Do fuel-mining exports cause economic growth in the UAE? A multivariate time series analysis
Authors	Kalaitzi, A.S.
Abstract	This study examines the causal effects of traditional UAE exports on economic growth from 1981 to 2012, using a neoclassical production function augmented with fuel-mining exports and imports of goods and services. The Johansen cointegration test is applied to assess long-run relationships, and the Granger causality test within a vector error correction model examines short-run causality. A modified Wald test in an augmented vector autoregressive model (Toda and Yamamoto, 1995) is also used to test for long-run causality. The analysis confirms a long-run relationship, with fuel-mining exports having a negative impact on growth. Fuel-mining exports do not cause economic growth in the short-run or long-run.
Sustainable Development Goals	9 Industry, innovation and infrastructure
	8 Decent work and economic growth
	17 Partnerships for the goals
Middlesex University Theme	Sustainability
Conference	Innovation Arabia 11 Conference
Accepted	08 Jan 2018
Completed	11 Mar 2018
Deposited	16 Jun 2025
Output status	Published

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